Quote:
Originally Posted by corporatejay
Can you explain where this is coming from?
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I have already have, he is on the board at Polymarket
what is polymarket?
"Polymarket is the country’s largest prediction market — a system allowing users to buy shares of an outcome, effectively creating a stock market on odds for certain events. The site covers both political and non-political events."
There is at the very least an obvious conflict on interest here...I wouldn't take his model a face value personally.
His former site (before being wooed away for millions of dollars by a hardcore billionaire Trump supporter) predicts a strong Harris probability while his "new" model basically flips the numbers.