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Old 09-17-2024, 11:43 AM   #2248
blankall
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Fonz View Post
August YOY CPI came in at 2.0%, after a 2.5% July, a 2.7% June, and a 2.9% May.

If this trend continues for another couple months, BOC is gonna get poopy pants and we'll see greater than 25bp cuts in early 2025, I'd guess.

Yeah, definitely looked like they overshot the interest rate hike. Inflation was clearly due to a lot of external factors, mostly supply chains and oil supply disruptions. The central banks were dealing with inflation as though it was entirely due to out of control spending.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/inf...price%20growth.

Quote:
"We continue to forecast a further 200 [basis points] of interest rate cuts between now and the middle of next year."
Quote:
Grantham noted that if mortgage interest costs were excluded from overall inflation, the rate would have come in at 1.2 per cent year over year.
That's a 2% fall in the next 9 months, CIBC is predicting.
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