Quote:
Originally Posted by InternationalVillager
If you ignore Draisaitl's rookie year.
He has averaged ~101-102 points pace for his career.
What changed? What allowed him to take the next step?
Look no further than PP% of his total point share.
If you continue to get something like 35-50 points per season on the powerplay. Getting/maintaining 100 point pace becomes a straight-forward exercise.
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I wonder about that Oilers PP...maybe I'm being optimistic but I think at some point it will get figured out.
At 5v5 I think there is an argument that Drai's production has already peaked and over the last 2 seasons he's become more dependent on McDavid for keeping that production above 0.60 P/GP as his with or without you splits have taken a hit.
17-18: 0.55 P/GP; 6:23 w/97
18-19: 0.72 P/GP; 10:19 w/97
19-20: 0.79 P/GP ; 8:38 w/97
20-21: 0.71 P/GP; 6:07 w/97
21-22: 0.68 P/GP ; 3:42 w/97
22-23: 0.64 P /GP; 5:51 w/97
23-24: 0.68 P/GP; 6:08 w/97
The PP has helped mask that for sure but in reality 22/23 was probably a bit of an outlier with that team having the best PP season ever.
17-18: 0.14 P/GP
18-19: 0.35 P/GP
19-20: 0.63 P/GP
20-21: 0.59 P/GP
21-22: 0.52 P/GP
22-23: 0.78 P /GP
23-24: 0.49 P/GP
Now if he can put up about a 0.5 P /GP PP pace, and a 0.68 5V5 pace then he's still going to be in that 1.18 P/GP pace that puts him more in that 95-99 point range.
But that's also expecting no further decline, which is destined to happen, especially at 5v5 production.
Maybe his production see's no decline, especially if they shift him back to McDavid's wing full time and hope the two of them can outscore the rest of the roster's problems. But then the problem becomes that you're paying him $14M to be 97's sidekick.