Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
Here are the top 10 scorers of all time, and the number of seasons they hit 100 points, after turning 30:
Gretzky: 4
Jagr: 1
Messier: 1
Howe: 1
Francis: 2
Dionne: 3
Lemieux: 1
Sakic: 2
Crosby: 1
but 'Flames fan' InternationalVillager is here to tell us uneducated fans that McDavid and Draisaitl are both going to "average 100 points over the next 10 years", which would make them the first two players in NHL history to do it - seems reasonable!
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These historical numbers are meaningless.
The game has completely changed in the post lockout era + especially these last few years. Look at how much scoring is up.
It's a powerplay happy league now and that's the way the NHL wants it. Oilers are also converting at historical levels on the powerplay and that is directly as a result of McDavid, Draisaitl and now Bouchard.
As long as those 3 are round, that powerplay is going to convert at relatively high levels and is hardly impacted as much by age.
Unless you think their even strength scoring is going to slow down by 50% or so- they're goint to hit ~100 points.
For those that think that Draisaitl barely hit 100 points last year, I would say he underperformed last year. He only had 39 PPP last year vs 62 PPP the year prior. He wasn't shooting as much and his ice time was actually the lowest since the 2018-19 season.
But yes- like I said right at the top. Keep throwing out useless historical figures to state your case when the league has completely changed.
And for the 1000th time, I don't really care how the Oilers do - I'm just telling you this meltdown of these two players isn't happening. I'm sticking to that analysis and projection as long as the league remains an offensive minded league wanting scoring to be higher and powerplay rates remain consistent.
They will be the outliers. Oh boy- either way this will make a very bump friendly post in the future.
