[McG]

As many have noted, Draisaitl signing regardless of amount was likely the best outcome for shelbyville.

People with the time or correct software can get a more accurate calculation, however assuming an inflation rate of 3%, $85 million today would be $115 million in 2034. And $115 million today would be almost $155 million in 9 years. It’s quick and dirty math, but even without a rate of return higher than the 3% and assuming full payment up front or at the back, the variances are significant. For my math friends, I moved the entire contract to the start and end and not annually as is the actual case.

Another statistical anomaly that happened, and it could have happened at any point during the season, but how about the throwing in the towel too soon by Vegas, or the overtime LA game that gave the greasers the preferred pathway in the playoffs. It happened, but it wasn’t expected.

Similarly, Crosby looks like playing into his 40s. Should Crosby or other statistical outliers be used to justify the Draisaitl contract, or should the most likely outcome of significant decline be used?

What about contract years, or a reduction in effort now that the contract has been signed?

I don’t know, nor does anyone else.

Sure seems lots of hopes riding on past lottery balls!