Quote:
Originally Posted by InternationalVillager
You are acting like he is 35 next year.
Year 1 - Age 29
Year 2 - Age 30
Year 3 - Age 31
Year 4 - Age 32
Year 5 - Age 33
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Bit of a technicality but he's 1 year older in reality than what you have here. His Birthday is October 27th.
So in Year 1 he turns 30 about 5 games into the season, and will be 30 for the majority of the season.
So it's more like the contract covers his 30-37 year old seasons than his 29-36 year old seasons.
Quote:
Originally Posted by InternationalVillager
Not quite right.
Draisaitl has been statistically the 2nd best scoring forward in the league for the last NINE seasons or since McDavid came in the league (although 4th in pts/game - that goes McDavid, Kucherov, Mackinnon then Draisaitl).
McDavid - 982
Draisaitl - 841
Mackinnon - 798
Kucherov - 790
Panarin - 781
Crosby - 743
Kane - 727
Marchand - 701
Pastrnak - 700
Gaudreau - 678
Ovechkin - 655
Barkov - 651
Matthews - 649
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It's tough to say how much of that is because the guy who is number 1 though, and even tougher when his own teammate/linemate has 140 more points than him in that time.
Draisaitl is great...but what % of his production is inflated by playing with 97. Is it 20%, is it 30%?
Zach Hyman went from being a 20 goal and 50 point guy before McDavid was his primary linemate...to a 45 goal and 82 point guy these last two seasons with McDavid and PP1 time. That's a 100% lift on goals, and a 65% lift in points.
I doubt Draisaitl would be that drastic but I feel like he goes from being a 120 point guy with 97 to probably a 90-100 point guy without him.
I like looking at Draisaitl/Hyman/McDavid with or without you's over their 3 years as Oilers.
McDavid+Draisatil+Hyman: 627 Minutes - 69.5% GF / 62.4% xGF
Draisaitl+Hyman without 97: 715 Minutes - 42.7% GF / 49.9% xGF
Hyman+McDavid without 29: 1560 Minutes - 60.5% GF / 61.3% xGF
Take McDavid away from those two and they go from being the best line in the league to terrible.
In the end they had to give him the money, but they are paying a premium to keep 97 and 29 together because 97 wants to keep 29, and because 29's stats are inflated by 20-30% from playing so much with 97 (IMO).