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Originally Posted by Winsor_Pilates
I did not say 2024 is the peak, but all years since 2021 are highly elevated compared to pre covid times.
Are you actually making the case that random attacks are not higher in recent years?
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The article doesn't say that at all though:
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...in the preceding 12 months, there had been 1,555 stranger attacks in the city, or an average of about four per day. That number, police said, was a 35 per cent increase compared to 2019 and indicated an "alarming increase" in these random, violent crimes.
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So a 35% increase means that there were about 1,150 of those in 2019. Now here's where they talk about more recently:
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The report does not include any actual figures. CTV News requested the full analysis from the Vancouver Police Department on Thursday, and in response was provided two statistics: That unprovoked stranger assaults went from an average of 4.5 per day in the first half of 2021 to 1.1 per day in the first half of 2023.
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So by the first half of 2023, they were on pace for 400 in a year, which would represent a significant drop compared to 2019. Now it's possible the 2nd half of the year is higher, but it would need to be 5x higher than the 1st half of 2023 to even match 2019's rate. And given how 2021 played out (relatively consistent numbers throughout the year), that seems extremely doubtful.