Quote:
Originally Posted by MoneyGuy
I’m giving the Dems a 75% chance. I don’t believe polls.
|
I get what you're saying here, but would you give 3:1 odds and actually put money on that? My point isn't that you don't believe what you're saying... my point is that a statement of your belief in the odds is literally meaningless unless there's some commitment based on your belief.
This is a 1-trial event that can never be replicated to find out what the probabilities really were. Your odds can never be checked to see how right/ wrong you may be. The same goes for Nate Silver et al.... saying it's a 55/45 race is meaningless.
Sorry... I'm just tired of these meaningless predictions. The only poll that matters is the vote itself.