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Old 09-03-2024, 10:10 PM   #20190
GGG
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Quote:
Originally Posted by activeStick View Post
Nate Silver's forecast has Trump now with his highest chance of winning the EC since Harris picked her VP, at 55.8% compared to Harris' chances of 44.0%.

He explains why Trump is winning in their model's forecast yet Harris is ahead in the polling averages.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/theres-...-this-election
I do think one key point is the if the election was held today or if the polling averages today ware the same on election day Harris would be the favourite.
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