Quote:
Originally Posted by PugnaciousIntern
I knew Nate Silver left but not that the fundamental model was different. Thank you very much!
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It's not only different from when Silver was there, but it's also quite different than it was even a couple of months ago. Their model used to be heavily fundamentals based (i.e. economic indicators, incumbency, etc. all played a large role). So they had Biden being the favorite even a few days before he stepped down and when his polling numbers were in the toilet.
It seems they've revamped it to give more weight to polling, but I honestly wouldn't put a ton of stock into their model vs. other ones or just looking at the polls.