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Old 08-22-2024, 12:56 PM   #19679
rubecube
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MoneyGuy View Post
I think Harris will outperform the current polls by a lot.
Take a look at the graph on RCP for PN. She just continues to trend upwards. Even Rasmussen, a notoriously R-leaning pollster, only has Trump +1. I believe he was +5 with them a week ago.

I've also been reading that they've had a huge surge of volunteer registrations in Florida over the last few weeks, so that could be back in play at some point as well.

Like I said a couple of days ago; I don't want to get my hopes up, but I think the final map will be closer to 2012 than 2016 or 2020.

EDIT: Trump won Maine's second district by about 8 points in 2020 and is currently trailing Harris there by 5.

Last edited by rubecube; 08-22-2024 at 12:58 PM.
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