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Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
What part of "statistical tie" makes it sound like she's in dire straits and needs to be saved?
Betting averages and polls were moving clearly in her favour and now they've stopped moving entirely and settled in at "slightly favour Harris", but still within the margin of error. A week or so ago the hope was that the trend would continue to see her 10 points clear of Trump in the betting averages by the end of the convention - she got up to 8 points, now is back down around 5.5. The polls in the key swing states are still within margin of error and there are many that still have Trump up slightly.
So yeah, she needs to get a good bump here to get the ball rolling again. because momentum shifts in presidential campaigns are frequent and you'd like this not to be in recount territory, at least in the blue wall states, given the shenanigans that could very well take place in GOP controlled areas.
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You did say she needs to keep her momentum going in order to win the race, and you said she needs the DNC in order to do that.
She's already turned what was a 3.5 point lead for Trump following the debate disaster, to a 1.5 point lead for her. A 5 point swing in less than 2 months. To expect a simple, uninterrupted continuation of that trend is not realistic considering the nature of this electorate, and considering how much money the Trump campaign is pouring into ads.
Realistically, she needs the race to stay in its current state polling wise, and needs a strong ground game between now and the election to get people registered and win the turnout war. She probably also needs a small uptick in support just before the election to get this thing over the finish line.