Quote:
Originally Posted by marsplasticeraser
I think the biggest risk for her is debates. She isn't a great communicator when it's off the cuff (IMO), and so she could end up looking 'unpresidential' as being a powerful and confident orator is a big decision factor for some people.
I think it's more likely she is just average at the debate, which would probably be good enough.
An interesting datapoint is that The Rest is Politics podcast crew still think Trump is a slight favourite. If the poll numbers continue for another few weeks then it will probably swing to Kamala being a favourite, but it won't be a blow out.
I really feel like having Walz as the communication piece is so smart and effective. It's also hard to factor that into the future. He communicates so well and is so relatable that I could see that really impact independents and regular republicans.
|
Dems will outperform the polls like they have since 2018 IMO
Trumpers are older and shout their love for the guy from the rooftops...the younger demographic that leans (more than leans) left is becoming harder and harder to poll. I also think the dems are purposely downplaying the polls for fear of 2016 when people stayed home because they thought it was in the bag and didn't want to wait in line.
Harris still has the convention and potential debates...Trump has more time to say stupid #### and look like an idiot