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Old 08-16-2024, 11:41 AM   #19241
marsplasticeraser
Crash and Bang Winger
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Western Canada
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GirlySports View Post
I said the Democrat voters are coming home and double-haters are moving to Kamala. No denying that. She's swung the election 8 points.

I'm just curious, can it last? There's still two months to go. Does Trump get a bounceback? What happens if he does? Does Kamala suddenly do interviews? Should she maybe do a few safe ones now?
I think the biggest risk for her is debates. She isn't a great communicator when it's off the cuff (IMO), and so she could end up looking 'unpresidential' as being a powerful and confident orator is a big decision factor for some people.

I think it's more likely she is just average at the debate, which would probably be good enough.

An interesting datapoint is that The Rest is Politics podcast crew still think Trump is a slight favourite. If the poll numbers continue for another few weeks then it will probably swing to Kamala being a favourite, but it won't be a blow out.

I really feel like having Walz as the communication piece is so smart and effective. It's also hard to factor that into the future. He communicates so well and is so relatable that I could see that really impact independents and regular republicans.
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