Quote:
Originally Posted by Macho0978
Teams focus on MacKinnon, Macdvid, Kucherov and so on as well. Our top guys never produced and IMO I never thought Johnny was going to get it done in the playoffs. Tkachuk was bad for us in the playoffs too, but in Florida he has been great.
You can make a case Backlund has been our best player in the playoffs. If we had true elite players and guys like him behind them, we would have been a cup contender.
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If you're banking on getting a generational talent to win a cup, then even with 10 years of tanking, the odds are firmly against you. The odds of getting a #1 overall are only 25.5%, even if you finish very last, which is unlikely, so your likely looking at 13.5-8.5% odds at #1. Then, that generational or even franchise level player doesn't come along every year.
You could tank for 10 years straight, end up with a single #1 overall pick, then draft Lafreniere, Slafkovsky, or Hischier instead of Matthews, McDavid, or MacKinnon.
At a certain point you do have to build a good team. If you get lucky enough to have those 3-4 core pieces to build around, the rest is built outside of the draft. From your examples, Tampa didn't have that prolonged rebuild, people are talking about. Colorado did their best not to have a prolonged rebuild.