Quote:
Originally Posted by opendoor
It basically comes down to Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. If Harris wins all 3, she's President (barring something really weird happening elsewhere). If she loses any of them, then there isn't really a viable path, unless somehow she could win Georgia or North Carolina while losing one of the above 3 (which seems very unlikely).
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Vox had a good article which goes over the various paths:
https://www.vox.com/politics/363256/...ng-state-polls
Loses all three of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania: "She would have to win all four of Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, and Arizona — that would give her 275 electoral votes"
Wins Michigan, but loses Wisconsin and Pennsylvania: "Winning both Georgia and North Carolina would be enough to put her over the top. Alternatively, winning one of those two plus both Nevada and Arizona would do it"
Wins Michigan and Pennsylvania, but loses Wisconsin: "Adding Pennsylvania would put her close — at 260 electoral votes. She would only need to win one of Georgia, North Carolina, or Arizona to put her over the top. (Nevada’s electoral vote haul is too small to get her there.)"