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Old 07-28-2024, 02:04 PM   #33
powderjunkie
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Quote:
Originally Posted by powderjunkie View Post
Plenty of scenarios where they could advance (I think):

1. Win all of the games and they likely finish 2nd in the group and advance (unless COL or NZL beats the other one by like 5 goals).

2. Beat COL and tie France.
a) If COL and NZL tie, CAN likely finished 2nd in the group
b) if CAN finishes 3rd in the group with 1 pt, they'd still probably have a better GD than another group's 3rd place finisher if they had 1 pt too. In 2020 the 3rd place teams had 4, 4, and 1 pts, so it can happen.

Basically if either the Japan-Nigeria or Australia-Zambia or Colombia-NZL games ends as a tie, the odds are in Canada's favour as long as they don't #### the bed.
Scenario 2 is dead. Colombia beat NZL 2-0 and AUS beat Zambia 6-5. And Japan beat Brazil.

Just got to win them both now. I'm not sure if there are realistic scenarios where they could win both and still miss, but I don't think so.
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