Quote:
Originally Posted by Whynotnow
I have two reasons for why i think basically any complicated conspiracy theory is not true.
1. People are crappy at keeping secrets and most conspiracy’s would take a lot of people to pull off successfully - I just don’t believe they would be kept secret.
2. This part is the one I always ask people who propose large conspiracies but also don’t like the government. It goes like this…do you have faith in the government to do their projects and tasks with efficiency and great execution - think of most government projects - do the go well? Inevitably the answer is no. So the second question is then - what makes you think the same government that can’t manage most things can pull off complicated conspiracies?
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Yeah, the larger the conspiracy, the more likely it will fall apart at some time. That is the thing about conspiracies in general though... they are not all equal in size and scope, but even small conspiracies can have large effects.
Essentially all planned crimes are some kind of conspiracy. One person conspiring, it's not that hard to get away with it. Two people, still pretty doable. At some point as it gets bigger, it will fall apart.
How big would a conspiracy have to be in this case? Would it need to be a big network of people in on it, or could 2 or 3 people with enough authority manipulate the situation? I could think of scenarios where under the right circumstances, a couple of people might be able to do it and just make it look like incompetence. You'd have to really fill in the gaps with made up information though.
Unless more information comes out, this was just another random attempt at murdering someone, just like what happens all the time. This one just happened to have bigger stage and back drop.