Quote:
Originally Posted by Aarongavey
I would offer sheet either player because there is an about a 90% probability that either player will be better than who we pick with the 2nd round pick. Returning fire is only a concern if you think you are going to screw up your cap so much that you cannot match an offer sheet.
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If you're paying $4 million apiece for players in the bottom half of your roster, your cap is going to get screwed up.
If you give a player an offer sheet at fair market value, he has little incentive to sign it. You have to overpay in actual dollars to tempt him, and you have to seriously overpay for his current team not to match. Giving up a 2nd or 3rd in compensation is a relatively minor part of the equation. (Different if you're talking about a 1st+, but nobody is in this particular case.)
Offer sheets are rare because they are the worst of both worlds. You have to give up assets as if you were making a trade,
and you have to overpay on the contract as if you were signing a free agent.