Quote:
Originally Posted by PepsiFree
Historically, teams that draft top prospects win the Cup while those players are on their ELC, or the chances of them winning at all drops dramatically.
So, assuming Parekh hits and we draft top 5 next year, we should be contenders by 2026-27. If we aren’t… who knows, could take 10 years.
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This isn't true.
Florida Panthers won in 2024
1st Overall 2014: Aaron Ekblad
2nd Overall 2013: Sasha Barkov
3rd: Overall 2011: Jonathan Huberdeau
Colorado Avalanche won in 2022
2nd Overall in 2011: Gabriel Landeskog
1st Overall in 2013: Nathan MacKinnon
10th Overall in 2015: Mikko Rantanen
4th Overall in 2017: Cale Makar
Tampa Bay Lightning won in 2021, 2020
1st Overall in 2008: Steven Stamkos
2nd Overall in 2009: Victor Hedman
Pittsburgh Penguins won in 2017, 2016, 2009
1st Overall in 2003: Marc Andre Fleury
2nd Overall in 2004: Evgeni Malkin
1st Overall in 2009: Sidney Crosby
LA Kings won in 2014, 2012
11th Overall in 2005: Anze Kopitar
2nd Overall in 2008: Drew Doughty
Chicago Blackhawks 2015, 2013, 2010
3rd Overall in 2006: Jonathan Toews
1st Overall in 2007: Patrick Kane
Chicago is the only team that started winning when their core players were on their ELCs, and it was in the final year of their ELCs.
Generally, it takes a couple of years of drafting at or near the top to amass the top tier skill required to win (notice how the top-end picks are generally selected in a tight grouping) - but after you assemble that team, it usually takes 4-10 years before you reach the Championship level.