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Old 06-19-2024, 11:46 PM   #792
Jay Random
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Join Date: Aug 2005
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Paulie Walnuts View Post
I just went back. I thought Markstrom no retention was worth a 3rd. Markstrom at 50% was worth #10 overall.

So we got a 2nd round prospect. A 1st for 31% retention.

Seems like a win for me.
Agreed.

I break it down a little differently, but come to the same result:

The full meal, 50% retention for two years ($6m total), based on historical numbers, is worth a late 1st all by itself. If Markstrom + retention was in the ballpark of 10 OA, that means Markstrom without retention was worth a late first – which is what they are probably getting from Jersey.

Bahl was drafted 55th overall, and unlike the majority of picks in that range, he's established himself as an NHL regular. Spitballing, I'd say his value has improved since he was drafted because there's no longer a risk that he will bust. If he's worth an early second, then that's fair value for the smaller amount that the Flames retained. (PuckPedia says it's worth the 38th pick.)

In short, the package they got for Markstrom wasn't as flashy as the #10 pick, but pretty close in total value.


By the way, Sean O'Leary at The Score gives the Flames a B+ on the deal:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sean O'Leary
To reel in a first-round pick and a roster-ready player for an openly available, 34-year-old goalie with control over his destination is tidy business.
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Last edited by Jay Random; 06-19-2024 at 11:49 PM.
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