My dark horse is Austria. They have some strong Bundesliga players. I like Sabitzer (Dortmund), Laimer (Bayern) and Baumgartner (Leipzig) in midfield and I think Arnautovic (Inter) and Gregoritsch (Freiburg) can score goals in this tournament. No David Alaba at the back is a blow but they've done without him before.
Anyway, there's usually a surprise team that makes it to the semis and they're my choice, though they're in a tough group with France and the Netherlands (plus Poland).
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