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Originally Posted by PepsiFree
I don’t think this is exactly right.
3-1 would include teams that were down 3-0, but also teams that were down 2-1, 1-0, and even up 1-0. So the team that won while down 3-0 is the same team that won down 3-1, but the team that won 3-1 wasn’t necessary ever down 3-0… if that makes sense.
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But if a team wins after being down 3-0, then after game 4 they were necessarily down 3-1. That has only happened once, in 1942.
No team that has been down 2-1 and then 3-1 has ever gone on to win the SCF. This is not a reflection of probabilities, it's just a historical fact.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ken0042
Seriously, I am actually surprised that so many Stanley Cup Finals have been sweeps. That's around 25%.
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Several of those happened in the years after the 1967 expansion, when all the expansion teams were in one division and the Original Six were in the other. The team that came out of the expansion division had no business being on the same ice with its opponent in the finals.
Checking: The St. Louis Blues won the West division in 1968, 1969, and 1970. All three times, they were then swept in the finals.
The numbers also include the very weird 1988 finals, when the Oilers swept the Bruins in five games. Yes, you read that right. Game 4 had to be called with the score tied 3-3, because intense heat and humidity caused a power failure in the Boston Garden. As a result, the no-good Oilers got three of the four games that actually counted at home.