Quote:
Originally Posted by butterfly
It’s simply backward looking results, not a forward looking predictive number.
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Agree.
The actual probability of coming back from 3-0 is:
- 0.400% team: 2.6%
- 0.500% team: 6.3%
- 0.600% team: 13.0%
- 0.700% team: 24.0%
Actual historic values are ~3%.