[Flames Fan, Ph.D.]

Originally Posted by gvitaly

I think that some people here are overvaluing the 10th overall pick when they want to throw Pospisil in.

Here are the 10th overall picks from 2020-2000:
FP(5%):

Rantanen(2015)

P1/L1(20%):

Bouchard(2018), Tippett(2017), Nichushkin(2013), Brodin(2011)

P2/L2(10%):

Perfetti(2020), Frolik(2006)

P3/L3-4(35%):

Podkolzin(2019), Jost(2016), Ritchie(2014), Paajarvi(2009), Hodgson(2008), Kostitsyn(2003), Nystrom(2002)

RL(30%):

Koekkoek(2012), Mcllrath(2010), Ellerby(2007), Bourdon(2005),Valabik(2004), Backburn(2001)

Which means that the Flames would have a 65% chance to draft a player that's significantly worse than either Markstrom or Pospisil. You can even argue that I have Frolik, Brodin, and Tippett too high. That said there's a 1/4 chance to get a core player.

I would obviously be happy with the 10th overall pick as the return in a Markstrom trade, but the expectations from that pick here are extremely high. Nystrom was 10th, Baertschi was 13th, so was Coronato. IMO Pospisil is better than either of the 3 were/are.

Thank you.

This is why my preference would be to push to include the 28th instead of Pospisil. The historical list of 28th overalls versus pospisil looks probably even more in favour of pospisil.

If NJ says no to the 28th and insists on pospisil, then that tells you something. At that point flames management would need to push for more assets in return imo.