[Erick Estrada]

Originally Posted by gvitaly

I think that some people here are overvaluing the 10th overall pick when they want to throw Pospisil in.

Here are the 10th overall picks from 2020-2000:
FP(5%):

Rantanen(2015)

P1/L1(20%):

Bouchard(2018), Tippett(2017), Nichushkin(2013), Brodin(2011)

P2/L2(10%):

Perfetti(2020), Frolik(2006)

P3/L3-4(35%):

Podkolzin(2019), Jost(2016), Ritchie(2014), Paajarvi(2009), Hodgson(2008), Kostitsyn(2003), Nystrom(2002)

RL(30%):

Koekkoek(2012), Mcllrath(2010), Ellerby(2007), Bourdon(2005),Valabik(2004), Backburn(2001)

Which means that the Flames would have a 65% chance to draft a player that's significantly worse than either Markstrom or Pospisil. You can even argue that I have Frolik, Brodin, and Tippett too high. That said there's a 1/4 chance to get a core player.

I'll take those odds all day every day for an opportunity to get a franchise altering player like Rantanen or even a Perfetti or Bouchard type of talent. I really don't see the point of using past failed players at any draft pick as that's simply the nature of the draft and why teams should load up on as many picks as possible to increase their odds of hitting. Pospisil is a nice looking player but the way he plays isn't conducive to a long career as he looks like a lesser version of Ferland who will have an equally short career. I don't think you just give him away as a throw-in but selling high on a player like this is prudent management.