Quote:
Originally Posted by blankall
I disagree with your view on the demographics. The Ultra Orthodox population numbers are only now recovering from the effects of the holocaust. Expect their numbers to explode in the next 50 years. Meanwhile Iran, and specifically the Persian population, has a fertility rate below replacement.
By the end of the 21 century, there could be upwards of 80 million Jews in the Middle East, with many more large populations in areas like New Jersey. Meanwhile Iran is aging and see a sharp population decline throughout the last half of the 21st century.
Demographic trends are on Israel's side, which is a big part of why many right wing Israelis are no longer pushing for long term peace.
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I am not thinking Iran is the problem, in fact the opposite, if any population in the middle east is likely to become moderate it is Iran, my worry would be the Sunni ummah as a whole, 900 million and growing, and to be clear Islam could calm down and become more moderate but I think Israel isnt learning the lesson Jewish history teaches it, Palestinians and their allies will also be repeating 'next year in Jerusalem' for just as many years as Jews have, at some point all countries lose power and wealth, to my way of thinking the time to create peace is when you have power because you wont get it when you're weak