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Originally Posted by Beninho
Maybe I read the article wrong but Liberman does not say that Iran will drop a nuke on Israel, but he is saying that once Iran develops a nuke they will attack Israel. I am inferring here but I believe he is saying that the threat is more so Irans long range missiles and if they develop a nuke it will give them the confidence to initiate what he calls a “holocaust”. Not really a fan of that wording.
I think it is up for debate how much control Iran has over their proxies. I don’t think anyone really knows. There have been reports that Hezbollah has been planning to invade the Galilee, if so, why did they not invade it on October 7th? Iran obviously has influence over these groups but to what degree is impossible to say.
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I really hope Hezbollah doesn't invade, for the sake of the people of Lebanon. They've already seen a mass exodus due to the recent economic crisis. Although it's likely always been Iran's plan to totally destabilize Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon, so that they can slide into the power vacuum.
Iran's initial nuclear strike would likely be a strike that would kill a few hundred thousand Israelis. Meanwhile, Israel would strike back with a barrage of cutting edge thermonuclear devices. Not a good trade off for Iran.