Quote:
Originally Posted by Robbob
I think you have to forget about Holtz and Mercer if you are talking about the 10OA. Only reason they factor in is if NJ is suddenly willing to part with Mercer because the player @10 is seen as a replacement. Granted that 10th pick probably is 2 years out.
In terms of value of an aging goaltender, look at the value Ryan Miller or Darcy Kemper returned. Both were UFAs at the time. I think that gives you a ballpark of the value of Markstrom. The question is, are those theoretical picks and pieces returned enough draft capital to move up. If not, what if you throw in the value of retention. Markstrom straight up might not be worth the 10OA, but once you add retention, I think it starts getting there.
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Youre right with the comparables.
One more is MAF.
I would put Markstroms value without retention as a late 1st(25-32nd oa)
Retention would add betweeen a 2nd rounder up to another late 1st.
So retained Markstrom is worth like 17th-24th oa in my opinion, based on the amount retained.
To get to 10th you would need to add.
I think van 1st + 50% retained Marsktrom is fair value.