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Old 06-03-2024, 02:51 AM   #187
DeluxeMoustache
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Oil Stain View Post
Both teams were really good in the regular season.

Florida 3rd GF%, 5th expected GF%
Edmonton 5th GF% 1st expected GF%

Florida definitely holds the edge here come playoffs:

Panthers 1st and 1st in GF% and expected
Oilers 6th and 9th.

In the Oilers defence their playoff opponents were substantially better in these metrics during the regular season:

Kings 10th GF% 4th Expected GF%
Canucks 2nd GF% 8th Expected GF%
Dallas 6th GF% 3rd Expected GF%

vs

Tampa 25th GF% 21st Expected GF%
Boston 4th GF% Expected 18th GF%
New York 16th GF% Expected 22nd GF%

Still believe Skinner is the decider as I have since the Oilers acquired Ekholm. I believe the skating roster can hang with anyone since then. Skinner plays average to above average and the Oilers have a good shot to take home the ultimate prize. If he has a couple of stinkers like the LA and Van series, Florida will be too much to overcome.

xGF is a mightily flawed stat, particularly as sample sizes diminish

Game 6 was, what, Dallas 2.7 to Edm 0.56?
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