Quote:
Originally Posted by marsplasticeraser
Polls are unreliable 6 months out. Neither campaign has started any of their detailed campaigns, and polls will change, and change unpredictably.
The polls now are simply content for media, podcasters, and content creators.
Polls become very reliable a week or two out. But this is the case of where the analysis is in the hands of intelligent people who are looking on a district by district level.
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We are only 5 months out and, while the campaigns will have some effect, that is hardly reassuring when you consider the size of Trump's lead at the moment.
Biden's approval rating has been in steady decline for 18 months, and is now in the 30s. You can't hand wave that away as simply "unreliable polling".