Quote:
Originally Posted by Mathgod
It's not a coin flip. It's more like 80/20 in favor of Trump at this point. Biden isn't going to win unless there's a big swing in support between now and November.
And don't give me the whole "polls are unreliable" bullcrap. Polls have been for the most part very reliable with the exception of 2016 and 2020 where they usually UNDERestimated Trump's support.
Biden's approval rating has been in steady decline for almost 2 years now. Are you telling me that all those polls saying the same thing are ALL wrong?
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...proval-rating/
And if you think Trump's return to the WH will just be a disaster for the US, you're very much mistaken. The consequences for Canada will be WAY more disastrous than most people realize. |
Polls are unreliable 6 months out. Neither campaign has started any of their detailed campaigns, and polls will change, and change unpredictably.
The polls now are simply content for media, podcasters, and content creators.
Polls become very reliable a week or two out. But this is the case of where the analysis is in the hands of intelligent people who are looking on a district by district level.