Quote:
Originally Posted by The Cobra
I am not an expert on this stat, but Bingo has it in his game recaps.
Expected GA for goalies above average. Markstrom was near the leaders for lots of the season, but came down after the trade deadline. I assume that takes in to account the degree of required saves, or i's a pretty useless stat.
So, he was not just giving up more goals (duh!), but was giving up more goals than the average goalie would do on comparable chances. At least I think that's what it was saying.
Vladar and Wolf on a per game average were terrible on that stat, but at least Wolf's got better at the end (which the eye test would confirm).
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I know what the stat is, and what it tries to capture. I am saying it doesn't do a good job of that because scoring chances are not created equal - two shooters, in the same spot, taking the same shot, are not the same if one of them has more time and space than the other, for instance. But the stat cannot account for that. And as a result, I argue that terrible defense does not get fully captured by the stat
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
Yeah the slide in Markstrom's numbers after the all star break don't appear to be 100% on the team's defense (based on expected goal models of the day)
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Yes, the stat says that. Does the stat do a good job of calculating that? We have debated it before, and there is no point in re-hashing it.