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Old 05-03-2024, 03:26 AM   #55
delayedreflex
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Originally Posted by schteve_d View Post
Two things.

If I liked your post it doesn't necessarily mean that I agree with you but I can see that you put a lot of time and effort into your post and I appreciate that.

I know there's great stories of guys coming out of later rounds. Our own Gaudreau and maybe, hopefully, Wolf. Zetterberg, Pavel Bure, Lundqvist, Alfredsson. The list could go on and on. I don't know squat about the job of scouts but does a lot of work go into rounds, say 5-7? When I see a fifth or seventh round pick thrown into a trade my immediate thought is: "Who cares"?

I always think that when you find an example from above, say Zetterberg, the scouts did kind of a crummy job. Passed him up many times and just lucked out when they got to the late pick and he's still there, late bloomer thing notwithstanding.

Just seems to me like there is an awful lot more luck than due diligence in those later rounds.
Yeah, it might be mainly luck, but I feel like that's why it might make sense to try to collect as many of them as you can. Might as well try to squeeze an extra 6th or 7th round pick out of every trade you make so that you have those extra lottery tickets. With first round picks, the value of the pick varies pretty drastically depending on where the other team finishes - but these late round picks, it's pretty much just as good to get them from a Stanley cup finalist team as a bottom of the barrel team, and it seems like the top teams would be more willing to part with a bunch of late picks since they're unlikely to make an impact during their contention window.
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