Quote:
Originally Posted by united
5v5 goals: 12-12
5v5 adjusted xG: 10.6-10.0 Kings
5v5 shots: 123-107 Kings
Powerplays: 20-12 Oilers
Per Natural Stattrick
Very abnormal to see such a penalty discrepancy in an evenly-played series at 5v5 like this as historically those metrics nicely correlate, as you would expect. Further, historically the team trailing in a given game earns powerplays more frequently than the leading team, exasperating the split.
As Elliotte Friedman says, to paraphrase, "The Oilers' arena is name after my employer and the League's largest sponsor, what do you expect me to do, criticize them?" Matching the Oilers at 5v5 is not enough given the pressure applied; it will take domination and/or a superb goaltending performance. Thankfully, whomever comes out of the Stars/Golden Knights/Avalanche pot will easily overcome that.
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Thankfully, historically penalties seem to go way down in games overall come round 2. We can only hope the trend continues.