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Old 05-01-2024, 04:15 PM   #34
Oil Stain
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DeluxeMoustache View Post
Your story tells a partial story. Unfortunately it is anecdotal. Statistical noise, basically

3-10-1 (.250 point percentage) without Bedsy compared to a 20-43-5 record (.330 point percentage) with him

They were literally one win (4-9-1 = .320) off of a pretty much identical win%

Even statistics are expressed in confidence intervals 19 times out of 20

Sorry, my friend. Sample size considered, this is insignificant. The team was pretty much equally bad in terms of scores with and without him

Naturally, he should have improved (and likely did) as the year went on

But comparing historically low win percents with and without him, he’s clearly not a difference maker in a positive way… yet
Seems like the Hawks were worse without Bedard/Dickinson on the ice.

In 100 minutes Bedard/Dickinson were 3-3 GF/GA when on ice together.

Bedard was 34-64 in 900 minutes without Dickinson. 35 GF%
Dickinson was 42-33 in 900 minutes without Bedard. 56 GF%

Hawks were 39-102 in 2000 minutes without either. 28 GF%

Not sure what was going on with Dickinson. Probably luck, as his expected GF was 45%. Bedard's was 42% and the Hawks without either player were 40%.
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