Quote:
Originally Posted by SilverKast
I read an interesting article (on the Athletic I think?) where they related that the most proven method of NFL draft success was trading back in the draft and accumulating more picks. Given that there are more players on the field at once, and a lot more positions, not sure if this would also work in the NHL?
They said that even though teams know this is what works best, they're reluctant to do so because no one wants the possibility of losing out on the shiny new toy of a high draft pick. Even though trading back results in higher probabilities of drafting multiple productive players and produces a much stronger talent base. That and the fact that a lot of players just don't turn out, so having more bullets in the chamber sort of thing.
I'd sure prefer the Flames to keep their picks, and accumulate more to build up a strong talent base. Not sure about the trading back and getting more picks thing though - I'm still not sure it would translate in the NHL like the NFL.
But we definitely need to build up our talent. When I look at our team and it's overall prospects I don't see anything that screams contender. If they want to continue to be a mediocre team that's fine, but at least don't pretend otherwise. It seems like Conroy wants to build it up, but it will take a few years to get a good read on their actions.
Fingers crossed!
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NFL is a little different because players are fully developed for the most part (age 20-23 or older). The chance of a total bust, I'd guess is less.
But I do think more picks overall is a good thing. Trading back probably depends where. Example, when the Oilers traded back in the 2003 draft, they essentially traded Parise for Marc-Antoine Pouliot and J-F Jacques. Or 2008, Coyotes traded 36th overall for 46th overall and a 3rd rounder which ended up being trading Roman Josi for Colby Robak and Mathieu Brodeur.
But it goes the other way, too. Anaheim trading 22nd overall to Toronto for 30th and 39th which ended up being Rickard Rackell and John Gibson for Tyler Biggs.