Quote:
Originally Posted by DeluxeMoustache
Your story tells a partial story. Unfortunately it is anecdotal. Statistical noise, basically
3-10-1 (.250 point percentage) without Bedsy compared to a 20-43-5 record (.330 point percentage) with him
They were literally one win (4-9-1 = .320) off of a pretty much identical win%
Even statistics are expressed in confidence intervals 19 times out of 20
Sorry, my friend. Sample size considered, this is insignificant. The team was pretty much equally bad in terms of scores with and without him
Naturally, he should have improved (and likely did) as the year went on
But comparing historically low win percents with and without him, he’s clearly not a difference maker in a positive way… yet
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You need to count the game he got injured in as a missed game, as it was the 4th shift.
The difference beaten when he played vs. When he didn’t comes out to 17 points over full season based on that recalculation.
Plus, two of the we wins when he didn’t play were against bottom feeders SJ and Calgary.
He was a difference maker in every way.