I disagree with that. They performed admirably last election with no vote split, with the same leader as before, and didn't lose Calgary seats by all that much. They basically captured the two big city vote, a resounding accomplishment on its own.
In 2027, the province is also going to be more full of young progressives who are arriving in droves for better house prices.
The NDP is a much stronger party today than they were in 2016. Anyone who doesn't believe that isn't paying attention.
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