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Old 04-19-2024, 10:28 AM   #11921
corporatejay
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Quote:
Originally Posted by belsarius View Post
No everyone doesn't realize that. Housing prices took off during the pandemic (May/June 2020) when Canada only had 280,000 in permanent immigration. It accelerated in 2021 with even lower immigration. House prices have declined overall in the last 2 years where immigration has doubled.

In May 2020 the average home was $539,000 and started a steep climb peaking at $836,000 in Feb 2022.

https://tradingeconomics.com/canada/...e-house-prices

Annual immigration during that time was under 300,000. Immigration started increasing in 2021/2022 just as the prices peaked and has continued at its high level while housing prices fall.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/...nts-in-canada/

There is no correlation between immigration and housing pricing. Now, I'll say if you are looking at cost of renting, there may be a correlation there, but I was only looked at housing prices.

If you look at when the prices started jumping, (May/June 2020), that coincides with the Feds dropping the overnight rate from 1.75 to 0.25 in March of 2020. When did the rates go up again? March 2022, as housing prices peaked the month before, interest rates cooled them off.

Interest rates plus the excess cash available to many people during the pandemic, coupled with a bear stock market and confidence in the Canadian housing market were much more to blame for what happened. Here is an article from the NP in 2021 calling out the housing affordability crisis without a single mention of immigration.

https://nationalpost.com/news/canada...d-in-one-chart

So it seems like investment in the market, spurred on by excess cash and affordable interest rates drove the problem, not immigration policies.
Immigration is just one of many factors but definitely a big one. Where else would increased housing demand come from? We have a very low birthrate.
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