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Old 04-10-2024, 07:39 AM   #1
gvitaly
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Default The top 4 hole on Defense (Quick reference for free agent D-men)

The Flames currently have Weegar, and Andersson as locks in the top 4, but I don't see the Flames going with Kylington, and Miromanov in the top 4 to start next season. I see Kylington and Miromanov fighting for the 4th D spot, with the loser cementing the bottom pairing.

Personally, I see the Flames going after a stay at home D to round out the top 4. Here are the potential options and their contract projections by AFPAnalytics.

Defensive D:
Code:
Player     AGE     POS     SHOOTS     Contract Proj     G     P      +/-     TOI      xG%     CF%
Brodie     34      RD         L        3 x $4.9M        0     24      20     21:45    49.3    49.6
DeMelo     31      RD         R        4 x $5.1M        3     30      42     21:45    51.8    51.4
Roy        29      RD         R        4 x $5.6M        4     23      18     20:59    55.4    53.3
Pesce      30      RD         R        6 x $6.7M        3     13      10     20:17    54.5    57.3
Dumba      30      RD         R        3 x $3.7M        4     11     -16     19:50    46.3    45.7
Tanev      35      RD         R        3 x $4.7M        2     19      23     19:40    53.5    51.6
Martinez   37      LD         L        1 x $1.7M        4     13      2      19:13    45.3    44.4

4/5 Options:
Player     AGE     POS     SHOOTS     Contract Proj     G     P      +/-     TOI      xG%     CF%
Myers      34      RD        R         2 x $2.7M        4     25      14     18:54    52.4    48.7
Carrier    28      RD        R         3 x $3.6M        4     19      6      18:48    51.2    50.9
Cole       35      LD        L         2 x $3.1M        2     11      8      18:44    53.1    48.5
Hakanpaa   32      RD        R         2 x $2.4M        2     12      10     18:38    50.2    48.4
Forbort    32      LD        L          ???????         0     4       8      17:47    52.7    45.4
Grzelcyk   31      LD        L         3 x $4.1M        2     10      13     17:34    47.0    45.3
Zadorov    29      LD        L         4 x $5.1M        6     19      1      17:23    48.2    50.4
That's the group I'd target with DeMelo, and Roy being the top options for the Flames. Pretty much anyone from the 1st group not named Dumba. I could also see the Flames sign a 4/5 stop gap, Carrier jumps out in that regard.

Hybrid/Offensive
Code:
Player     AGE     POS     SHOOTS     Contract Proj     G     P      +/-     TOI      xG%     CF%
Hanifin    27      LD        L          7 x $7.7M       13    43      19     23:37    51.7    51.0
Montour    30      RD        R          7 x $8.7M       7     32     -3      23:20    53.3    55.1
Skjei      30      LD        L          6 x $7.4M       13    46      15     21:16    54.2    57.6
Walker     30      RD        R          4 x $4.9M       10    28      9      19:09    54.6    53.5
Gostisbeh  31      LD        L          3 x $4.4M       10    50     -18     19:02    46.2    48.5

4/5 options:
Player     AGE     POS     SHOOTS     Contract Proj     G     P      +/-     TOI      xG%     CF%
Dillon     34      LD        L          2 x $3.9M       8     20      16     18:44    49.5    49.6
OEL        33      LD        L          3 x $3.7M       9     30      7      18:35    54.0    55.6
Barrie     33      RD        R          2 x $3.7M       1     15     -10     18:19    46.4    43.8
Gustaffson 32      LD        L          3 x $5.0M       6     30      2      17:22    51.6    53.8
Kylington  27      LD        L          2 x $2.5M       2     5      -7      16:48    49.0    46.6
I don't really see any suitable options for the Flames from that group, asid from re-signing Kylington, which they should. Also, some of those contract projections for offensive D-men seem really off, so take them with a grain of salt.

So what d-men do you think the Flames will be interested in, and might have the appetite to come here this summer?

PS: if you have better contract projections or information that should be added, I'd gladly add it to the list.

Potential trade targets:
1 year remaining:
Code:
Player     AGE    SH-POS    NTC/NMC        Contract       G     P      +/-     TOI      xG%     CF%
Orlov      32     LS-LD     No            1 x $7.75M      6     26      6      17:12    56.2    59.6
Ekblad     28     RS-RD     12-team TL    1 x $7.50M      4     18      27     20:51    58.6    57.6
Schmidt    32     LS-D      10-team TL    1 x $5.95M      2     13      9      16:46    55.1    52.2
Suter      39     LS-LD     NMC           1 x $3.65M      2     17      16     18:59    53.7    51.7
Petry      36     RS-RD     15-team NTL   1 x $2.34M      2     22     -7      18:50    46.7    44.7
Savard     33     RS-RD     No            1 x $3.50M      6     20     -2      20:08    45.2    43.7
Ceci       30     RS-RD     No            1 x $3.25M      4     24      11     19:59    52.4    50.8
Maatta     29     LS-LD     No            1 x $3.00M      4     17      16     16:00    48.5    47.2
A couple of interesting names in this group, mostly the first 2 in Ekblad, and Orlov. I doubt Ekblad moves, but he's a pretty good buddy with both Huberdeau and Weegar, and FLA might need the cap space. As for Orlov I thought he was absolutely great with BOS, but CAR is not a great fit. Both players would easily be flipped at the deadline IMO. The rest would have to come with considerable sweetners.

2 years remaining:
Code:
Player     AGE    SH-POS    NTC/NMC        Contract       G     P      +/-     TOI      xG%     CF%
Trouba     30     RS-RD     15-team NTL   2 x $8.00M      3     22     -3      21:19    48.2    46.9
Carlson    34     RS-RD     10-team NTL   2 x $8.00M      8     48     -10     25:47    47.7    47.3
McDonagh   34     LS-LD     NTC           2 x $6.75M      3     29      16     21:43    56.6    52.5
Fowler     32     LS-D      4-team TL     2 x $6.50M      5     36     -36     24:29    44.9    46.8
Chiarot    32     LS-D      10-team NTL   2 x $4.75M      5     19     -4      19:38    45.3    43.2
Gudbranson 32     RS-RD     10-team NTL   2 x $4.00M      6     23     -14     19:35    45.3    45.6
Leddy      33     LS-LD     NTC           2 x $4.00M      3     26      10     22:16    42.7    44.3
Holl       32     RS-RD     10-team NTL   2 x $3.40M      0     5       8      15:04    43.8    45.6
Soucy      29     LS-D      NTC           2 x $3.25M      2     6       8      17:23    51.3    47.7
A lot of bad contracts here. I could potentially see a guy like Trouba, or Gudbranson being fun during a rebuild. That said, I doubt anyone here wants to come to CGY. I also don't want to touch a guy like Chiarot with a 10 ft pole. I doubt any of the players here would be a fit, even if a team was desperate to move them.

3+ years remaining:
Code:
Player     AGE    SH-POS    NTC/NMC        Contract       G     P      +/-     TOI      xG%     CF%
Krug       32     LS-LD     15-team NTL   3 x $6.50M      4     39     -31     21:57    45.7    46.7
Faulk      32     RS-RD     NTC           3 x $6.50M      2     30     -2      21:57    46.5    47.1
Risto      29     RS-RD     No            3 x $5.10M      1     4      -6      16:41    56.7    51.6
Girard     25     LS-D      No            3 x $5.00M      3     18      1      19:39    53.4    54.6
Zub        28     RS-RD     10-team NTL   3 x $4.60M      4     24      7      21:02    53.5    53.2
---
Chabot     27     LS-LD     No            4 x $8.00M      8     28     -4      23:20    50.7    51.4
Graves     28     LS-LD     12-team NTL   5 x $4.50M      3     14      10     18:23    50.1    48.8
I doubt the Flames would want anything to do with the first 3, but if COL wants to move Girard, or OTT Zub for cap reasons CGY should be in on it. As for Chabot and Graves, I think both could be buy low options, and decent players in the long run.

Last edited by gvitaly; 04-11-2024 at 01:55 PM. Reason: Added Hakanpaa, and players under contract
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