Thread: [PGT] Calgary 1 Chicago 3
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Old 03-27-2024, 07:15 PM   #109
Jay Random
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Join Date: Aug 2005
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root View Post
Even if it's o ly a couple spots, that's better than a 4th to 3rd. Plus, it could turn into several spots.
A whole bunch of upsets would have to happen in the playoffs for that to be the case.

Quote:
Would you trade the 28th pick and a 4th for the 30th and a 3rd? I wouldn't. And if the difference was more than 2 spots, I definitely wouldn't.
I just pulled these pick values from Sound of Hockey, showing the historical trade values of NHL picks:

28th pick in 1st round: 158.84
28th pick in 4th round: 5.40
Total: 164.24

29th pick in 1st round: 151.85
29th pick in 3rd round: 15.26
Total: 167.11

30th pick in 1st round: 145.17
30th pick in 3rd round: 14.83
Total: 160.00

At the moment, the Canucks are 2nd in the league by win percentage. If that stands up, they will draft no higher than 27th, and that only if the Rangers also fail to make the conference finals. If the Rangers make the conference finals, they will get a bottom-four pick and the Canucks will be left at 28th.

The difference between 28th and 29th is not worth the difference between a 3rd and a 4th – especially to a team like the Flames, which has a good record of finding useful players in the middle rounds of the draft.
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Last edited by Jay Random; 03-27-2024 at 07:19 PM.
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