Quote:
Originally Posted by Macho0978
The other thing about drafting is teams that are labeled good at drafting change over the years too. It's very hard to always be great at drafting. Boston had an amazing run for years back in 03 to around 07, they haven't been great since. Tampa had a great stretch, that seems to have dried up. The Stars seem to be the best now but there is no guarantee that they will keep it going.
Odds always favor the top 5 picks and 1st overall is by far better than even 2nd overall. Sure, you might get Bennett, but you are more likely to get a Barkov top 5 than a Kucherov in the 2nd round. You need a few hits in the mid rounds and the best teams always find good players, but it's hard to find Mackinnon, McDavid, Matthews types past the 1st few picks.
For once, I wish the Flames would get lucky in the lottery. 1 1st overall pick can change everything.
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Good drafting is a ton of luck. Like you said there are teams that have some amazing drafting during a certain window of time but then it dries up. I never expected Yzerman to have the same success in Detroit as in Tampa. The Wings were unreal at drafting for a stretch as well and Holland looked like a genius during that time.
Even the draft class is luck. Do you get Ovechkin and Malkin or Yakupov and Murray.
I think all you can do is give yourself the best odds and hope for some luck. Get high picks and multiple picks and you give yourself the best probability to get lucky.