Quote:
Originally Posted by The Cobra
You can’t add odds like that.
Their chance of picking in the top 3 would be .94x.938x.998=.8799-1=12%.
But I am having trouble figuring out how they could pick 3rd?
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I think the way he added the odds is the correct way to do it. The tankathon odds all add up to 100%.
The Flames, if they ended up in 8th position, can pick 3rd if this happens:
1) The 12th position team wins the 1st overall lottery. They are limited to a jump of 10 spots, so they end up in 2nd overall instead.
2) The Flames then win the 2nd overall lottery. Since that spot is already taken, the Flames get bumped down to 3rd overall.