Quote:
Originally Posted by butterfly
In roulette it doesn’t matter, as you said. So after 30 reds in a row, all numbers are equally likely to come out. Betting on the same color has zero advantage.
With this dataset there is an extremely weak positive correlation. So, in the absence of perfect data, I must agree with you. However, it amounts to a couple goals a year.
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What I am saying is that the best predictor of a goalie's (or any athlete's) performance is their past performance (i.e. no change)
That is nothing like predicting red or black - they aren't comparable data items