Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
Well, if you understand the stats you're quoting, you know that when there is random variability, the best guess for future data points is no change.
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You’re wrong.
It’s almost entirely random and certainly not statistically significant. The best guess for future data points is a random value based on the mean and standard deviation of the data set, which you may argue should be slightly adjusted based on the extremely weak relationship. A goal or two.