I do think the market for a signed Hanifin will be better than a not signed Hanifin, but don't think it was ever going to be like Tkachuk. An RFA vs a UFA is a big difference in the value that the contract added.
If we look at the closest comparable which was the Hampus Lindholm trade:
1st 2022
2nd 2023
2nd 2024
Vaakaneinen
and compare it to one of the rumors I think there was about the Lightning offer:
1st 2026
2nd 2025
Isaac Howard
So I would say the 1st, and 2nd are equivalent, but that Howard is a better prospect than Vaakaneinen was (more upside at this point). So really that feels like it's about a 2nd/3rd round pick light in compared to what Lindholm got but comparable overall.
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