Quote:
Originally Posted by Sylvanfan
With 23 games left and 7 points separating the playoff ins from the outs. I think all of Calgary, St.Louis, Seattle, Minnesota can be cast aside. It's at a point where you need to be going 7-2-1 now in 10 game stretches to reel in a team that goes 5-4-1. I don't think anyone in this chase pack I'd going to play at a 700 points clip to close out the season. The 8 playoff teams in the West are set and there's 7 teams who will move around for position.
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I think it's a bit early to say it's set, but it is getting very unlikely. Two things have to happen for any those teams to get in:
1) either NAS or LAK have to fall back (certainly possible)
AND
2) you have to beat ALL the other teams in the group (unlikely)
Basically these teams have a 25% chance of winning that race, though MIN is a little behind, and SEA loses the tiebreaker to everyone. Then multiply that by the probability of the leading teams falling back enough to be catchable (50%? - probably less than that)
For the Flames specifically, with their depleted defense, I just can't see them being the best of the pack, never mind reel in the leaders.