Quote:
Originally Posted by Saqe
It's one of the things I've read.
So if rankings don't matter isn't it just better to turn all your higher picks into multiple lower picks? That way you have "more fish in the barrel". Seems like you need to do a lot of praying with this tactic.
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You're just being obtuse here.
Obviously you are better off having a 1st round pick than a 3rd round pick, only a moron would argue differently.
The point, with respect to ranking a team's prospects, is that the correlation between their rank and their likelihood of being an NHLer is not as high as you might think. It's better to look at it in tiers. For the Flames currently:
Tier 1 (80-100% NHLer): Zary, Wolf, Pelletier, Pospisil, Coronato
Tier 2 (good chance): Honzek, Morin, Brzustewicz, Poirier, Suniev
Tier 3 (decent chance): Solovyov, Kuznetsov, Schwindt, Klapka
Tier 4 (chance): Stromgren, Kerins
Tier 5 (long shot): everyone else
But outside of Tier 1, literally anything can happen. You could argue that Grushnikov should be in Tier 2 or 3, but either way, it's completely irrelevant, and his likelihood of making the NHL is exactly the same.
How anyone actually ranks these players has no bearing on how likely they are to make it, and the Flames have a pretty deep pool - not much in the blue chip category, but very strong with respect to potential NHLers. So again, saying he's around 10th (as opposed to 4th or 5th (or higher) on a team like the Oilers, is irrelevant.