Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
I think it important to not assume a contract is bad in its entirety.
Get back to the differential.
Kadri with soon to be 5 years left on his deal is getting much more palpable than 7. His production this year makes the $7M pretty much spot on. We don't know where it goes with age (assume down).
But what if he has two more years similar to this one then a decline for three years ... then we are looking at say $1.5M over paid, $2.5M and $3M. Not really a huge deal.
Huberdeau is probably $4M overpaid now, not $10.5.
Ironically his dip probably makes the future dip less extensive.
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The old rule used to be 100K a point when the cap was like 73 million in 2017. For every 10 points that works out to 1.36% of cap space. In a world with a 97 million dollar cap (which it looks like it might be in 2027) that rule of thumb becomes about 133K per point.
If that old rule of thumb still holds Kadri is earning his keep in 26/27 if he is a 50 point player. 7 million in the outlying years as a percentage of the cap is like 5.5 million or less in 2020.